REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 23h41 from the 100 gun · run 91765 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

1 of 7 aid stations reached · running 9% faster than plan

Projected finish 19:3114h16 (18:1713h0220:4815h34), cutoff 22:0016h45

Projections from tracker & plan, the plan weighted 70%; finish typically ±1h16m. How this works.

AidMile Plan InOut vs plan
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0006:481h3406:511h37-26m
Crosby-Manitou 11.108:173h03~07:45~2h30 ±8m~07:48~2h33
Sugarloaf 20.811:055h50~10:15~5h01 ±25m~10:18~5h04
Cramer Road 26.112:397h25~11:42~6h28 ±37m~11:45~6h31
Temperance33.214:479h32~13:39~8h25 ±50m~13:42~8h28
Sawbill 38.416:3211h17~15:16~10h01 ±59m~15:19~10h04
Oberg 44.118:2013h06~16:56~11h42 ±66m~16:59~11h45
Finish · Caribou Highlands 51.621:1516h00~19:31~14h16 ±76m

▾ opens a station’s section and overall pace, its cutoff and margin, and crew and drop-bag access (● by a name means crew can be there), all from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

Reports

Every in/out time entered by hand for David. An accidental one is cleared with remove, which asks first.

No manual reports yet.

Checked 07:40 CDT · reload

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