REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 32h51 from the 100 gun · run 90818 Restart

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

5 of 7 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Projected finish 23:4818h34 (23:0117h4700:3719h22)past the 22:0016h45 cutoff

Projections from tracker & plan, the plan weighted 70%; finish typically ±48m. How this works.

AidMile Plan InOut vs plan
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h0007:252h1007:352h20+11m
Crosby-Manitou 11.108:173h0308:543h3909:043h50+37m
Sugarloaf 20.811:055h5011:556h4012:046h49+50m
! Cramer Road 26.112:397h2513:558h40+1h15
! Temperance33.214:479h3216:1511h0016:2411h10+1h28
! Sawbill 38.416:3211h17~18:26~13h11 ±15m~18:36~13h21
! Oberg 44.118:2013h06~20:32~15h18 ±29m~20:42~15h27
! Finish · Caribou Highlands 51.621:1516h00~23:48~18h34 ±48m

▾ opens a station’s section and overall pace, its cutoff and margin, and crew and drop-bag access (● by a name means crew can be there), all from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

Reports

Every in/out time entered by hand for David. An accidental one is cleared with remove, which asks first.

No manual reports yet.

Checked 16:51 CDT · reload

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