SIMULATION synthetic data for every runner, not the race Fri 07:30 · 30m before the 100 gun ◀ 10 min 10 min ▶
↻ restart field 1 → 2 clear entries break tracker feed break ultralive

David Bitner #514 · Superior 50 · Finland to Caribou Highlands

Crew Marin

0 of 7 aid stations reached · no pace measured yet — projections blend the plan with twelve years of results

Projected finish 21:1516h00 (19:2614h1122:5017h35), cutoff 22:0016h45

No fixes or reports yet — every time below is the plan.

Projections from plan; finish typically ±1h42m. How this works.

AidMile Plan InOut vs plan
Sonju Lake Road7.007:142h00~07:14~2h00 ±13m
Crosby-Manitou 11.108:173h03~08:17~3h03 ±19m
Sugarloaf 20.811:055h50~11:05~5h50 ±37m
Cramer Road 26.112:397h25~12:39~7h25 ±47m
Temperance33.214:479h32~14:47~9h32 ±61m
Sawbill 38.416:3211h17~16:32~11h17 ±72m
Oberg 44.118:2013h06~18:20~13h06 ±83m
Finish · Caribou Highlands 51.621:1516h00~21:15~16h00 ±102m

▾ opens a station’s section and overall pace, its cutoff and margin, and crew and drop-bag access (● by a name means crew can be there), all from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

Reports

Every in/out time entered by hand for David. An accidental one is cleared with remove, which asks first.

No manual reports yet.

Checked 07:30 CDT · reload

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