REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 9978 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% slower than plan

Finished 17:4933h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-13m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:204h2012:304h30-23m14:206h20 +2h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4214:126h12-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:099h1017:199h20+7m19:4011h40 +2h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:0412h0420:1412h14+16m22:4014h40 +2h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:3714h3722:4614h47+18m02:1018h10 +3h33+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:3017h3101:5017h51+53mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:0819h0803:2719h27+1h1309:1025h10 +6h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:4922h4906:5922h59+1h4612:1028h10 +5h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:5224h5209:1225h12+2h0413:4529h45 +4h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:1627h1711:2727h27+2h3316:0032h00 +4h43+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:5728h5713:0729h07+2h3217:4033h40 +4h43+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:4030h4115:0131h01+2h3619:1035h10 +4h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:4933h50+3h2222:0038h00 +4h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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