REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 98744 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:4030h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:251h2509:351h35-31m11:003h00 +1h35+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:425h42-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:498h5017:009h00-14m19:4011h40 +2h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:4411h4419:5411h55-4m22:4014h40 +2h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:2014h2022:2914h30+1m02:1018h10 +3h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:3016h30-7mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:3317h3301:4317h43-22m09:1025h10 +7h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:2920h30-34m12:1028h10 +7h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:2222h2206:3222h32-26m13:4529h45 +7h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:3624h3708:5624h56-7m16:0032h00 +7h23+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:2426h2510:3426h35-1m17:4033h40 +7h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:5827h5812:0828h08-6m19:1035h10 +7h12+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:4030h40+13m22:0038h00 +7h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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