REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 95403 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% faster than plan

Finished 11:0027h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:421h4209:521h52-14m11:003h00 +1h18+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:503h5012:004h01-53m14:206h20 +2h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:075h0713:275h28-57m16:008h00 +2h53+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:198h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1810h19-1h3022:4014h40 +4h21+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:0912h09-2h1002:1018h10 +6h01+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2514h2522:3514h35-2h12none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:4215h4323:5215h53-2h1309:1025h10 +9h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:2018h2002:3018h30-2h4312:1028h10 +9h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:4819h49-3h0013:4529h45 +9h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:2621h2605:4621h46-3h1716:0032h00 +10h34+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:5822h5907:0823h09-3h2617:4033h40 +10h41+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:3824h39-3h2619:1035h10 +10h31+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:0027h00-3h2722:0038h00 +11h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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