REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 910 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% faster than plan

Finished 09:5926h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h03-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:224h2312:434h43-20m14:206h20 +1h57+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:425h42-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:208h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3710h3818:4710h48-1h1122:4014h40 +4h02+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:0913h10-1h0902:1018h10 +5h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:1015h1123:2015h21-1h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1816h19-1h3709:1025h10 +8h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:3918h3902:4918h49-2h2412:1028h10 +9h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:5819h5804:0720h08-2h5013:4529h45 +9h47+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:2621h2605:3521h36-3h1716:0032h00 +10h34+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:4922h4906:5922h59-3h3617:4033h40 +10h51+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:1824h18-3h4619:1035h10 +10h52+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:5926h00-4h2822:0038h00 +12h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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