REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 24h45 from the 100 gun · run 87615 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

12 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% faster than plan

Projected finish 11:1227h12 (08:47–12:48), cutoff 22:0038h00

Projections from the gun, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±2h1m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 10m.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:321h3309:421h4310m-23m11:003h00 +1h27
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:403h4011:493h5010m-1h0314:206h20 +2h40
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:464h47-1h1716:008h00 +3h13
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:097h1015:207h2011m-1h5419:4011h40 +4h30
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:279h2717:379h3710m-2h2122:4014h40 +5h13
Finland50.622:1814h1919:2711h28-2h5102:1018h10 +6h42
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:3013h3121:4013h4110m-3h07none
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:5314h5323:0215h039m-3h0209:1025h10 +10h17
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:5917h5902:0818h0910m-3h0412:1028h10 +10h11
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:3619h3603:4619h4610m-3h1213:4529h45 +10h09
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:3021h30-3h1316:0032h00 +10h30
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:0923h0907:1823h1910m-3h1617:4033h40 +10h31
Oberg95.412:0428h05~09:04~25h05 ±111m~09:14~25h1519:1035h10 +10h05
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h28~11:12~27h12 ±121m22:0038h00 +10h48

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.