REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 26h55 from the 100 gun · run 87465 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% faster than plan

Projected finish 13:0029h00 (12:40–13:20), cutoff 22:0038h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±20m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 13m.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:231h2409:331h3410m-32m11:003h00 +1h36
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:263h27-1h1614:206h20 +2h53
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:524h5213:025h0210m-1h1216:008h00 +3h08
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:307h3015:407h4010m-1h3319:4011h40 +4h10
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:579h58-1h5122:4014h40 +4h42
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1912h2020:3912h4020m-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:4014h4022:5014h5010m-1h57none
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:0316h0300:1216h139m-1h5209:1025h10 +9h07
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:5918h5903:2919h2930m-2h0412:1028h10 +9h11
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:5220h5205:0221h0311m-1h5613:4529h45 +8h53
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:3922h3906:4922h4910m-2h0416:0032h00 +9h21
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:3424h3408:4424h4510m-1h5117:4033h40 +9h06
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:3126h3110:4026h4110m-1h3319:1035h10 +8h39
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h28~13:00~29h00 ±20m22:0038h00 +9h00

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.