REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 85705 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 27% slower than plan

Finished 23:4039h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h24+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:465h4713:565h57+1h0414:206h20 +33m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:317h3215:517h52+1h2816:008h00 +28m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:0911h1019:1911h20+2h0719:4011h40 +30m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:2414h2422:3314h34+2h3622:4014h40 +16m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:2917h3001:4917h49+3h1102:1018h10 +40m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:5020h5105:3021h30+4h14none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5607:0223h0307:2323h23+5h0709:1025h10 +2h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0311:1927h2011:3027h30+6h1612:1028h10 +50m+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4913:2229h2213:4229h43+6h3413:4529h45 +23m+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:5631h5716:0732h07+7h1316:0032h00 +3m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2518:1434h1518:2434h25+7h4917:4033h40 -35m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0520:2736h2720:4736h47+8h2319:1035h10 -1h17+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2823:4039h40+9h1322:0038h00 -1h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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