REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 28h11 from the 100 gun · run 85652 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

10 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% slower than plan

Projected finish 19:4835h49 (19:23–20:15), cutoff 22:0038h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±26m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 13m.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:172h18+22m11:003h00 +42m
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0113:095h109m+17m14:206h20 +1h20
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:127h1221m+48m16:008h00 +1h08
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4910h5018:5911h0010m+1h4719:4011h40 +50m
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:4413h4421:5413h5410m+1h5622:4014h40 +56m
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3016h3000:4016h4010m+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2319h2403:4319h4320m+2h46none
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0321h0305:2321h2320m+3h0809:1025h10 +4h07
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:4924h5008:5925h0010m+3h4612:1028h10 +3h20
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:4926h4910:5826h5910m+4h0113:4529h45 +2h56
Temperance84.608:4324h44~13:02~29h03 ±3m~13:15~29h1616:0032h00 +2h57
Sawbill89.910:2526h25~15:03~31h03 ±11m~15:16~31h1717:4033h40 +2h37
Oberg95.412:0428h05~17:02~33h03 ±17m~17:16~33h1619:1035h10 +2h07
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h28~19:48~35h49 ±26m22:0038h00 +2h11

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.