REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 42h52 from the 100 gun · run 85589 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% slower than plan

Finished 18:3934h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h13m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h24+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0013:095h10+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:216h2214:426h42+18m16:008h00 +1h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:399h4017:5910h00+36m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5312h5421:2313h24+1h0522:4014h40 +1h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5916h0000:1916h20+1h4102:1018h10 +2h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:5018h5003:2019h20+2h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3320h3304:5320h53+2h3809:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:2924h3008:4924h49+3h2712:1028h10 +3h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:2226h2210:3226h32+3h3413:4529h45 +3h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:1628h1612:3628h37+3h3316:0032h00 +3h44+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:0430h0514:1530h15+3h4017:4033h40 +3h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:5131h5116:1032h11+3h4719:1035h10 +3h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:3934h40+4h1222:0038h00 +3h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 02:52 CDT · reload

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