REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 85540 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% faster than plan

Finished 12:5028h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 14h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:381h3809:481h48-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:174h17-26m14:206h20 +2h03+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:415h41-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:108h1016:198h20-53m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1310h1418:2310h23-1h3522:4014h40 +4h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1912h2020:2912h30-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:4614h4622:5514h56-1h51none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:0816h09-1h4709:1025h10 +9h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:0919h1003:2019h20-1h5312:1028h10 +9h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:4920h4904:5920h59-1h5913:4529h45 +8h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:4922h5006:5923h00-1h5416:0032h00 +9h10+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:2924h29-1h5617:4033h40 +9h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:2026h2110:3026h31-1h4419:1035h10 +8h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:5028h50-1h3722:0038h00 +9h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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