REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 29h46 from the 100 gun · run 85387 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

10 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% slower than plan

Projected finish 20:1136h11 (16:22–22:44), cutoff 22:0038h00

Projections from the gun, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±3h11m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 15m.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h039m-2m11:003h00 +1h06
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5013:005h0010m+7m14:206h20 +1h30
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:316h3214:516h5220m+28m16:008h00 +1h28
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1118:2010h209m+1h0719:4011h40 +1h29
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3712h3720:4712h4710m+49m22:4014h40 +2h03
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5916h0000:2016h2021m+1h4102:1018h10 +2h10
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:4018h4002:5018h5111m+2h03none
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:1320h1304:3320h3320m+2h1809:1025h10 +4h57
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:1924h2008:3924h3920m+3h1612:1028h10 +3h50
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:5226h5211:1227h1320m+4h0413:4529h45 +2h53
Temperance84.608:4324h44~13:08~29h08 ±154m~13:23~29h2316:0032h00 +2h52
Sawbill89.910:2526h25~15:14~31h15 ±165m~15:29~31h3017:4033h40 +2h25
Oberg95.412:0428h05~17:22~33h22 ±176m~17:37~33h3719:1035h10 +1h48
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h28~20:11~36h11 ±191m22:0038h00 +1h49

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.