REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 27h27 from the 100 gun · run 85196 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

12 of 13 aid stations reached · running 2% slower than plan

Projected finish 15:2131h21 (15:03–15:41), cutoff 22:0038h00

Projections from the last departure seen, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±19m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 12m.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:072h0710:172h1810m+11m11:003h00 +53m
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:095h1013:305h3020m+27m14:206h20 +1h10
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:017h0210m+48m16:008h00 +1h08
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:5910h0018:0910h1010m+56m19:4011h40 +1h40
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3412h3420:4312h439m+46m22:4014h40 +2h06
Finland50.622:1814h1922:5915h0023:1015h1010m+41m02:1018h10 +3h10
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:1717h1701:2717h2710m+40mnone
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:4718h4803:0719h0720m+52m09:1025h10 +6h22
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:1922h1906:3922h3920m+1h1612:1028h10 +5h51
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0224h0208:1224h1210m+1h1413:4529h45 +5h43
Temperance84.608:4324h4409:4625h4709:5625h5710m+1h0316:0032h00 +6h13
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:0927h1011:1927h1910m+44m17:4033h40 +6h30
Oberg95.412:0428h05~12:54~28h55 ±9m~13:07~29h0719:1035h10 +6h15
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h28~15:21~31h21 ±19m22:0038h00 +6h39

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.