REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 84705 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% faster than plan

Finished 09:3025h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:441h44-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:503h5012:004h00-53m14:206h20 +2h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:115h1213:225h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:008h0016:108h10-1h0319:4011h40 +3h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3310h3418:4410h44-1h1422:4014h40 +4h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1912h2020:2912h30-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2314h2322:3314h34-2h14none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2815h29-2h2709:1025h10 +9h42+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:5917h5902:1918h19-3h0412:1028h10 +10h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:3219h3203:4119h42-3h1613:4529h45 +10h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:5920h59-3h4416:0032h00 +11h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:2722h2706:3722h37-3h5817:4033h40 +11h13+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:3823h39-4h2619:1035h10 +11h31+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:3025h30-4h5822:0038h00 +12h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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