REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 84665 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 2% faster than plan

Finished 13:3929h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 13h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:441h44-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:104h1112:194h20-33m14:206h20 +2h09+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:175h1713:275h27-47m16:008h00 +2h43+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:497h5016:008h00-1h1319:4011h40 +3h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:2310h2418:3310h34-1h2522:4014h40 +4h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:5812h58-1h2002:1018h10 +5h12+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:1415h1523:2415h25-1h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:3316h3300:4216h43-1h2209:1025h10 +8h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:2919h3003:4019h40-1h3412:1028h10 +8h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:3121h3105:4021h41-1h1713:4529h45 +8h14+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:2023h21-1h2316:0032h00 +8h39+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2509:2425h2509:3425h34-1h0117:4033h40 +8h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:1127h1111:2027h21-53m19:1035h10 +7h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2813:3929h40-48m22:0038h00 +8h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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