REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 84653 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 21:1937h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:432h44+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:425h4314:026h03+1h0014:206h20 +37m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:317h3215:527h52+1h2816:008h00 +28m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4910h5018:5911h00+1h4619:4011h40 +50m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:0714h0722:1714h18+2h1922:4014h40 +33m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:0017h0001:0917h10+2h4102:1018h10 +1h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:4019h4103:5019h51+3h03none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0821h0805:2721h28+3h1309:1025h10 +4h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:5925h0009:0925h10+3h5612:1028h10 +3h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:0927h0911:2927h29+4h2113:4529h45 +2h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:3729h3814:1730h18+4h5416:0032h00 +2h22+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:0432h0516:4432h45+5h3917:4033h40 +1h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:0834h0918:2834h28+6h0419:1035h10 +1h01+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:1937h20+6h5222:0038h00 +40m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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