REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 84535 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 2% slower than plan

Finished 14:5030h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 12h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h4809:571h57-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:264h2712:364h37-16m14:206h20 +1h53+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:525h5214:016h02-12m16:008h00 +2h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:508h51-13m19:4011h40 +2h49+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:0411h0419:1411h14-44m22:4014h40 +3h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:3013h3021:4013h40-49m02:1018h10 +4h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:4015h4123:5015h51-57mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:1217h1301:2217h23-43m09:1025h10 +7h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:1920h2004:3920h40-44m12:1028h10 +7h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:1222h1206:3122h32-36m13:4529h45 +7h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:4624h4708:5724h57+3m16:0032h00 +7h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:3426h3510:4426h44+9m17:4033h40 +7h06+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0512:3128h3112:4128h41+27m19:1035h10 +6h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:5030h50+23m22:0038h00 +7h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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