REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 83530 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 19% slower than plan

Finished 21:0037h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h23+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:035h0313:125h13+20m14:206h20 +1h17+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:316h3214:426h42+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1018:1910h20+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:4313h4422:0314h04+1h5522:4014h40 +56m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3916h4000:4916h50+2h2102:1018h10 +1h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:0019h0003:1019h11+2h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3220h3304:4320h43+2h3709:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:0924h1008:4924h50+3h0612:1028h10 +4h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:4226h4211:0227h02+3h5413:4529h45 +3h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:3629h3613:5529h56+4h5316:0032h00 +2h24+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:4831h4916:0832h09+5h2317:4033h40 +1h51+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:0134h0118:1134h11+5h5719:1035h10 +1h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:0037h00+6h3222:0038h00 +1h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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