REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80958 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 20:1936h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h03-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:394h4013:005h00-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:116h1214:326h32+8m16:008h00 +1h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:319h31+28m19:4011h40 +2h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:2412h2420:3412h34+36m22:4014h40 +2h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:1015h1023:1915h20+51m02:1018h10 +3h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:2018h2002:3018h30+1h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:0820h0804:2720h28+2h1309:1025h10 +5h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:5023h5007:5924h00+2h4712:1028h10 +4h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:0626h0710:2726h27+3h1813:4529h45 +3h38+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:3628h3712:4728h47+3h5316:0032h00 +3h23+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:0431h0515:2531h25+4h3917:4033h40 +2h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:1033h1117:2133h21+5h0619:1035h10 +1h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:1936h20+5h5222:0038h00 +1h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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