REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80955 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 12:1028h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-23m11:003h00 +1h27+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:065h0713:175h17-57m16:008h00 +2h53+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:307h30-1h3319:4011h40 +4h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:439h4417:549h54-2h0422:4014h40 +4h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:0912h1020:1912h20-2h0902:1018h10 +6h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:3014h3122:4014h40-2h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:4715h4800:2716h28-2h0809:1025h10 +9h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:1919h1903:2919h30-1h4412:1028h10 +8h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:0021h0105:1021h11-1h4813:4529h45 +8h44+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:5622h5707:1723h17-1h4716:0032h00 +9h03+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:3924h39-1h4617:4033h40 +9h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:0026h0110:1126h11-2h0419:1035h10 +9h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:1028h10-2h1722:0038h00 +9h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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