REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80940 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 26% faster than plan

Finished 05:4921h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 21h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:121h12-44m11:003h00 +1h48+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4310:552h5511:153h16-1h4814:206h20 +3h25+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:014h01-2h0316:008h00 +3h59+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0314:106h11-2h5319:4011h40 +5h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4816:028h03-3h4622:4014h40 +6h37+time
Finland50.622:1814h1917:379h38-4h4102:1018h10 +8h32+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3719:1011h1119:2011h21-5h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5620:1312h1320:2212h23-5h4209:1025h10 +12h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0322:5914h5923:0915h10-6h0412:1028h10 +13h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4900:2216h2200:3216h32-6h2613:4529h45 +13h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4401:3917h39-7h0416:0032h00 +14h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2502:5118h5103:0119h01-7h3417:4033h40 +14h49+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0503:5920h00-8h0519:1035h10 +15h10+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2805:4921h50-8h3822:0038h00 +16h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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