REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80836 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% faster than plan

Finished 07:2923h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 19h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:371h38-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:583h58-45m14:206h20 +2h22+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:574h5713:075h07-1h0716:008h00 +3h03+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:447h4415:547h55-1h1919:4011h40 +3h56+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:469h46-2h0222:4014h40 +4h54+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:3911h4019:5011h50-2h3902:1018h10 +6h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:2013h2121:3113h31-3h17none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:3314h3322:4314h43-3h2209:1025h10 +10h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:4116h42-4h2112:1028h10 +11h28+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:5817h59-4h5013:4529h45 +11h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:2619h2703:3619h37-5h1716:0032h00 +12h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2504:3820h39-5h4617:4033h40 +13h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0505:4921h4905:5921h59-6h1519:1035h10 +13h21+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2807:2923h30-6h5822:0038h00 +14h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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