REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80652 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Finished 19:2035h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:232h23+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:205h21+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4215:017h02+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:5910h0018:1010h10+57m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5512h5621:0613h06+1h0722:4014h40 +1h44+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5015h5000:1016h10+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:2518h2502:3418h34+1h48none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4819h4903:5819h58+1h5309:1025h10 +5h21+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:2923h3007:5023h50+2h2612:1028h10 +4h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:3925h3909:4825h48+2h5113:4529h45 +4h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:4927h5012:0928h10+3h0616:0032h00 +4h10+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:5429h5514:1430h15+3h2917:4033h40 +3h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:1032h1116:2132h21+4h0619:1035h10 +2h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:2035h20+4h5322:0038h00 +2h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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