REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80378 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 16:1032h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:142h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3012:394h40-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:026h0214:216h22-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:499h5018:0010h00+47m19:4011h40 +1h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:2312h2420:3312h34+36m22:4014h40 +2h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:3914h4022:4914h50+21m02:1018h10 +3h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:2017h2001:3017h31+43mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:4218h4302:5218h53+47m09:1025h10 +6h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:0922h0906:1822h18+1h0612:1028h10 +6h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4907:5223h5308:0124h02+1h0413:4529h45 +5h52+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0626h0710:1626h16+1h2316:0032h00 +5h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:3827h3911:4827h48+1h1317:4033h40 +6h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:1029h1113:2129h21+1h0619:1035h10 +5h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:1032h10+1h4322:0038h00 +5h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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