REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 80313 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 16:0032h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:551h5510:252h25-1m11:003h00 +1h05+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:095h1013:205h20+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:526h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1018:1910h20+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:4312h4420:5412h54+55m22:4014h40 +1h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:0015h0023:1015h10+41m02:1018h10 +3h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:2017h2101:3017h31+43mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:5218h5303:0319h03+58m09:1025h10 +6h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:2922h2906:4922h50+1h2612:1028h10 +5h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0224h0208:2224h22+1h1413:4529h45 +5h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:1626h1610:2626h26+1h3316:0032h00 +5h44+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:1428h1512:2428h25+1h4917:4033h40 +5h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:4029h4113:5029h51+1h3619:1035h10 +5h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:0032h00+1h3322:0038h00 +6h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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