REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 79953 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 24% faster than plan

Finished 06:2922h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 20h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:541h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:483h48-55m14:206h20 +2h32+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:464h46-1h1816:008h00 +3h14+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:007h01-2h0319:4011h40 +4h39+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:059h06-2h4322:4014h40 +5h34+time
Finland50.622:1814h1918:5010h5018:5911h00-3h2902:1018h10 +7h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:2612h27-4h10none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:2813h2821:3713h38-4h2809:1025h10 +11h42+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0323:4915h5000:0016h00-5h1312:1028h10 +12h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:0917h09-5h3913:4529h45 +12h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4402:2918h29-6h1416:0032h00 +13h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2503:3919h40-6h4617:4033h40 +14h00+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0504:3820h3904:4820h49-7h2619:1035h10 +14h31+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2806:2922h30-7h5822:0038h00 +15h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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