REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 79945 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% faster than plan

Finished 10:4926h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h48-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:594h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:215h2213:415h41-42m16:008h00 +2h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:308h3016:408h40-33m19:4011h40 +3h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3410h3418:4310h44-1h1422:4014h40 +4h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2812h28-1h5102:1018h10 +5h42+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2714h28-2h10none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:3315h3323:4315h43-2h2209:1025h10 +9h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:2918h3002:3918h40-2h3412:1028h10 +9h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:0820h09-2h4013:4529h45 +9h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:5821h5906:1822h18-2h4516:0032h00 +10h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:3423h3507:4423h44-2h5117:4033h40 +10h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:4924h4908:5824h59-3h1519:1035h10 +10h21+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:4926h50-3h3822:0038h00 +11h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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