REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 79084 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 10:2926h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:573h57-46m14:206h20 +2h23+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:125h1213:215h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:507h5016:108h10-1h1319:4011h40 +3h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3310h3418:4310h44-1h1422:4014h40 +4h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:5012h5021:0013h00-1h2902:1018h10 +5h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5814h58-1h39none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:5916h00-1h5609:1025h10 +9h10+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:3918h4002:4918h50-2h2312:1028h10 +9h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:0820h09-2h4013:4529h45 +9h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:5621h5706:0722h07-2h4716:0032h00 +10h03+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:0923h09-3h1617:4033h40 +10h31+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:3024h3108:4024h40-3h3419:1035h10 +10h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:2926h30-3h5822:0038h00 +11h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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