REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 79069 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% faster than plan

Finished 11:2927h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:371h38-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:493h5012:004h00-53m14:206h20 +2h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:015h0213:115h12-1h0216:008h00 +2h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:407h40-1h2319:4011h40 +4h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:379h37-2h1122:4014h40 +5h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:5912h0020:1012h10-2h1902:1018h10 +6h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:0814h08-2h29none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2215h2323:3215h33-2h3309:1025h10 +9h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:4918h4902:5919h00-2h1412:1028h10 +9h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:1020h10-2h3813:4529h45 +9h35+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:0022h01-2h4316:0032h00 +9h59+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:3423h3407:4423h45-2h5117:4033h40 +10h06+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:1125h1109:2125h21-2h5319:1035h10 +9h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:2927h30-2h5822:0038h00 +10h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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