REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 78891 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 08:1924h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h48-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:483h49-55m14:206h20 +2h31+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:524h5213:015h02-1h1216:008h00 +3h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0314:597h0015:097h10-2h0419:4011h40 +4h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:079h07-2h4122:4014h40 +5h33+time
Finland50.622:1814h1918:4910h5018:5911h00-3h2902:1018h10 +7h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:3712h3820:5812h58-4h00none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:5213h5222:0214h02-4h0309:1025h10 +11h18+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:2916h2900:3916h40-4h3412:1028h10 +11h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:5217h5202:0118h02-4h5613:4529h45 +11h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:3819h3803:4819h48-5h0516:0032h00 +12h22+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:0921h10-5h1617:4033h40 +12h30+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:3822h38-5h2619:1035h10 +12h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:1924h20-6h0822:0038h00 +13h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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