REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 78433 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% slower than plan

Finished 18:5034h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h13+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:305h30+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:127h12+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0910h1018:2010h20+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1413h1421:4313h43+1h2622:4014h40 +1h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1716h1700:2716h27+1h5802:1018h10 +1h53+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:1019h1103:2019h21+2h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3320h3304:5320h53+2h3809:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:5923h5908:0824h09+2h5612:1028h10 +4h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:4825h4909:5925h59+3h0013:4529h45 +3h57+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:5827h5812:1828h18+3h1516:0032h00 +4h02+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:4229h4213:5229h52+3h1717:4033h40 +3h58+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:4731h4716:0632h06+3h4319:1035h10 +3h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5034h50+4h2322:0038h00 +3h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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