REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 7833 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% faster than plan

Finished 11:5928h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:551h5510:352h36-1m11:003h00 +1h05+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:155h1613:255h25+32m14:206h20 +1h04+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:276h27+23m16:008h00 +1h33+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:009h01-3m19:4011h40 +2h39+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:2311h2419:3311h33-24m22:4014h40 +3h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:4913h5022:0014h00-29m02:1018h10 +4h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:4015h4123:5015h51-57mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:4816h4900:5816h58-1h0709:1025h10 +8h21+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:2919h3003:3919h40-1h3412:1028h10 +8h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:0921h09-1h3913:4529h45 +8h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:3922h39-2h0416:0032h00 +9h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:2424h2508:3424h35-2h0117:4033h40 +9h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:5625h5710:0626h06-2h0819:1035h10 +9h13+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:5928h00-2h2822:0038h00 +10h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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