REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 78285 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 26% faster than plan

Finished 06:0022h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 21h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:451h4509:551h55-11m11:003h00 +1h15+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:403h4011:503h50-1h0314:206h20 +2h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:514h5213:025h02-1h1216:008h00 +3h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:097h10-1h5419:4011h40 +4h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:079h0817:179h17-2h4122:4014h40 +5h32+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:1011h10-3h0902:1018h10 +7h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:4012h40-3h57none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:4013h41-4h1509:1025h10 +11h29+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0323:4915h50-5h1312:1028h10 +12h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4900:5616h5601:0617h06-5h5213:4529h45 +12h49+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4402:0618h0702:1618h16-6h3716:0032h00 +13h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2503:1419h1503:2519h25-7h1017:4033h40 +14h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0504:2020h20-7h4419:1035h10 +14h50+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2806:0022h00-8h2822:0038h00 +16h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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