REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 77940 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 15:2931h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1310:232h23+17m11:003h00 +47m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:404h4012:504h50-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:026h0214:116h11-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:019h0217:129h12-2m19:4011h40 +2h38+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:2711h27-21m22:4014h40 +3h13+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:1014h1022:2014h20-9m02:1018h10 +4h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:3016h3101:0017h01-6mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:0818h0802:2718h28+13m09:1025h10 +7h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0305:1021h1005:2021h20+7m12:1028h10 +7h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:4822h4806:5822h58+0m13:4529h45 +6h57+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4408:4824h49+5m16:0032h00 +7h11+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2510:3426h3510:4426h45+9m17:4033h40 +7h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0512:4028h4112:5128h51+36m19:1035h10 +6h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:2931h30+1h0222:0038h00 +6h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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