REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 77791 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% slower than plan

Finished 16:2032h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h04-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:394h4012:504h50-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:066h0614:166h16+2m16:008h00 +1h54+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:299h3017:409h40+26m19:4011h40 +2h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:0312h0420:1412h14+15m22:4014h40 +2h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:2914h2922:3814h39+10m02:1018h10 +3h41+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:4016h4100:5016h51+3mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:5817h5802:0818h09+3m09:1025h10 +7h12+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0305:1921h2005:3921h40+17m12:1028h10 +6h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4907:2723h2807:4823h49+39m13:4529h45 +6h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0626h0710:2726h27+1h2316:0032h00 +5h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:0828h0912:1928h19+1h4317:4033h40 +5h31+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:0830h09+2h0419:1035h10 +5h01+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:2032h20+1h5222:0038h00 +5h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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