REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 77014 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% faster than plan

Finished 11:1927h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:351h3509:451h45-21m11:003h00 +1h25+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:573h58-45m14:206h20 +2h22+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:125h1213:225h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:497h5016:008h00-1h1419:4011h40 +3h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:0310h0418:1410h14-1h4422:4014h40 +4h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1912h2020:3012h30-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1614h17-2h21none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:3315h3323:4215h43-2h2209:1025h10 +9h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:3918h4002:5018h50-2h2412:1028h10 +9h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:4919h49-2h5913:4529h45 +9h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:3721h3805:4721h48-3h0616:0032h00 +10h22+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:2423h2507:3523h35-3h0117:4033h40 +10h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:5824h5809:0825h09-3h0619:1035h10 +10h12+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:1927h20-3h0822:0038h00 +10h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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