REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 76995 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 30% slower than plan

Finished 00:1040h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:272h2710:372h37+31m11:003h00 +33m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:295h3013:505h50+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:217h2215:417h42+1h1816:008h00 +38m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3910h4018:4910h50+1h3619:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:0414h0422:2414h25+2h1622:4014h40 +36m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:0717h0801:1817h18+2h4902:1018h10 +1h02+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:1020h1004:3020h30+3h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:0322h0306:1222h13+4h0809:1025h10 +3h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:1926h2010:2926h30+5h1712:1028h10 +1h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:3228h3212:5228h52+5h4413:4529h45 +1h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:3631h3616:1632h17+6h5316:0032h00 +24m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2518:1534h1518:3434h35+7h5017:4033h40 -35m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0520:4036h4121:0037h01+8h3619:1035h10 -1h31+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2800:1040h10+9h4322:0038h00 -2h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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