REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 7679 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 25% faster than plan

Finished 06:0922h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 21h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:074h07-36m14:206h20 +2h13+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:165h16-48m16:008h00 +2h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:107h1015:197h20-1h5319:4011h40 +4h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:179h18-2h3022:4014h40 +5h22+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:0011h00-3h1902:1018h10 +7h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3720:4612h47-3h51none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5621:4313h4321:5313h54-4h1209:1025h10 +11h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0323:5916h00-5h0412:1028h10 +12h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4901:0917h09-5h3913:4529h45 +12h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4402:2618h2702:3718h37-6h1716:0032h00 +13h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2503:4119h4103:5119h52-6h4417:4033h40 +13h59+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0504:4720h4704:5720h57-7h1719:1035h10 +14h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2806:0922h10-8h1822:0038h00 +15h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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