REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 76085 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 20% faster than plan

Finished 07:5924h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 19h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h48-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0012:094h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:165h16-48m16:008h00 +2h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:507h51-1h1219:4011h40 +3h49+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:439h4417:539h53-2h0522:4014h40 +4h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:4811h48-2h3102:1018h10 +6h22+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:4413h4521:5513h56-2h52none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:4214h4323:0215h03-3h1309:1025h10 +10h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:0917h10-3h5312:1028h10 +11h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:3818h39-4h1013:4529h45 +11h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:0620h0704:1720h17-4h3716:0032h00 +11h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:0921h09-5h1617:4033h40 +12h31+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:1122h1106:3122h31-5h5319:1035h10 +12h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2807:5924h00-6h2822:0038h00 +14h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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