REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 76017 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% slower than plan

Finished 19:3035h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:072h0810:172h17+12m11:003h00 +52m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0113:105h11+17m14:206h20 +1h19+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:426h4215:017h02+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0110h0218:2110h22+58m19:4011h40 +1h39+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3313h3421:4413h44+1h4622:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3016h3000:4916h50+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:3019h3103:4019h41+2h53none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:1221h1305:2221h23+3h1709:1025h10 +3h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:2924h3008:3924h40+3h2612:1028h10 +3h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:3226h3211:1227h13+3h4413:4529h45 +3h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:2929h2913:4929h50+4h4616:0032h00 +2h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:1431h1515:2431h25+4h4917:4033h40 +2h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:1633h1717:2733h27+5h1219:1035h10 +1h53+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:3035h30+5h0222:0038h00 +2h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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