REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 75503 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 6% slower than plan

Finished 16:5032h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:242h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:205h20+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:217h22+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:5310h5419:1311h14+1h5119:4011h40 +46m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:0614h0622:1614h16+2h1822:4014h40 +34m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3916h4000:5917h00+2h2102:1018h10 +1h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:5718h5703:0619h07+2h20none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:2320h2304:3220h33+2h2809:1025h10 +4h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:2923h2907:4923h49+2h2612:1028h10 +4h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:1925h1909:2925h29+2h3113:4529h45 +4h26+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:5926h5911:0927h10+2h1616:0032h00 +5h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:3928h4012:4928h49+2h1417:4033h40 +5h00+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:3030h3114:5030h51+2h2619:1035h10 +4h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:5032h50+2h2222:0038h00 +5h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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