REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 75404 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% slower than plan

Finished 19:1035h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:355h3513:555h55+52m14:206h20 +45m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:167h1615:257h26+1h1216:008h00 +44m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2018:2910h30+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:2313h2421:4413h44+1h3522:4014h40 +1h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1916h2000:3916h40+2h0102:1018h10 +1h51+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:1319h1403:3319h34+2h36none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:4820h4805:0821h08+2h5309:1025h10 +4h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:3923h4007:4923h50+2h3712:1028h10 +4h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:3225h3209:5225h53+2h4413:4529h45 +4h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:1628h1712:2728h27+3h3316:0032h00 +3h43+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:2430h2514:4430h45+4h0017:4033h40 +3h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:4032h4116:5132h51+4h3619:1035h10 +2h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:1035h10+4h4322:0038h00 +2h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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