REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 74615 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 09:0025h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:293h3011:403h40-1h1314:206h20 +2h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:364h36-1h2816:008h00 +3h24+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:297h3015:397h40-1h3419:4011h40 +4h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:1410h1418:2310h24-1h3422:4014h40 +4h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:2012h20-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:0614h07-2h31none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:1215h1323:2215h23-2h4309:1025h10 +9h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:3717h3801:4717h48-3h2612:1028h10 +10h32+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:1019h1103:2019h21-3h3813:4529h45 +10h34+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:2920h30-4h1416:0032h00 +11h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:5421h5506:0422h05-4h3117:4033h40 +11h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:0923h09-4h5519:1035h10 +12h01+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:0025h00-5h2722:0038h00 +13h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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