REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 73699 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 21:2937h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:571h5710:072h08+1m11:003h00 +1h03+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:165h1613:255h26+33m14:206h20 +1h04+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:117h1215:327h32+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3910h4018:5010h50+1h3619:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:4313h4421:5413h54+1h5522:4014h40 +56m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:4916h5001:0017h00+2h3102:1018h10 +1h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:1019h1103:3019h30+2h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0221h0305:3321h33+3h0709:1025h10 +4h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:0925h1009:2925h29+4h0612:1028h10 +3h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:1227h1211:3227h33+4h2413:4529h45 +2h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:4629h4713:5629h57+5h0316:0032h00 +2h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:0432h0516:2432h25+5h3917:4033h40 +1h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:1134h1118:3134h31+6h0719:1035h10 +59m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:2937h30+7h0222:0038h00 +30m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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