REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 73075 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% slower than plan

Finished 17:3033h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:332h34+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5113:005h01+7m14:206h20 +1h29+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:226h2214:416h41+18m16:008h00 +1h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:219h2217:319h32+18m19:4011h40 +2h18+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3312h3420:4312h44+45m22:4014h40 +2h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:1015h1023:1915h20+51m02:1018h10 +3h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:3017h3001:4017h40+53mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:5218h5303:3319h33+57m09:1025h10 +6h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:0922h0906:2922h29+1h0612:1028h10 +6h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:1224h1208:3224h32+1h2413:4529h45 +5h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:4626h4710:5626h57+2h0316:0032h00 +5h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:5428h5513:0529h05+2h2917:4033h40 +4h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:0131h0115:1131h11+2h5719:1035h10 +4h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:3033h30+3h0322:0038h00 +4h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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