REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 73045 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 16:0932h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0610:352h35+10m11:003h00 +54m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:255h2613:465h46+43m14:206h20 +54m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:317h32+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4010h4019:0011h00+1h3719:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1613h1621:2513h26+1h2822:4014h40 +1h24+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5015h5023:5916h00+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:1618h1702:2618h27+1h39none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:5319h5304:0220h03+1h5809:1025h10 +5h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:3922h4006:5022h50+1h3712:1028h10 +5h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:0824h0808:2724h27+1h2013:4529h45 +5h37+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:0726h0810:1726h17+1h2416:0032h00 +5h52+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:4427h4511:5427h55+1h1917:4033h40 +5h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:3729h3813:5729h57+1h3319:1035h10 +5h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:0932h10+1h4222:0038h00 +5h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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