REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 72336 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% slower than plan

Finished 20:2036h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:504h5013:105h11+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:216h2214:316h32+18m16:008h00 +1h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:409h4018:0010h00+37m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1413h1421:3413h34+1h2622:4014h40 +1h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:5916h0000:1016h10+1h4102:1018h10 +2h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:0019h0003:1019h10+2h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:4220h4305:0321h03+2h4709:1025h10 +4h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:4924h4909:0925h10+3h4612:1028h10 +3h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:4226h4211:0227h02+3h5413:4529h45 +3h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:3629h3713:4629h46+4h5316:0032h00 +2h23+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:4431h4515:5431h55+5h1917:4033h40 +1h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:5133h5118:1034h11+5h4719:1035h10 +1h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:2036h20+5h5222:0038h00 +1h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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