REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 7174 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% faster than plan

Finished 10:4926h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:481h4809:581h59-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0012:104h11-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:155h1613:265h26-48m16:008h00 +2h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:218h21-42m19:4011h40 +3h19+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3710h37-1h1122:4014h40 +4h03+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:4912h5021:0013h00-1h2902:1018h10 +5h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:0015h0123:1015h11-1h37none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1316h1300:2316h23-1h4209:1025h10 +8h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:2918h2902:4918h50-2h3412:1028h10 +9h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:0920h09-2h3913:4529h45 +9h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:4621h4705:5621h57-2h5716:0032h00 +10h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:5922h59-3h2617:4033h40 +10h41+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:2624h2708:4624h46-3h3819:1035h10 +10h43+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:4926h50-3h3822:0038h00 +11h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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